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Sic Bo: Probabilities, Payouts & House Edge Guide

Sic Bo looks like a broad betting carnival, but underneath it is a fixed three-dice probability table. Every wager reduces to 216 ordered outcomes, a payout multiple, and a volatility profile.

Hero Example
Total 12

Total 12, no triple

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Core concept

What is Sic Bo?

Sic Bo is a casino dice game built around three six-sided dice and a large menu of fixed-layout bets.

Players bet before the dice are revealed. The wagers can target broad ranges such as Small and Big, or narrow outcomes such as a specific triple, exact total, double, or two-number combination.

Unlike craps, Sic Bo does not have a point phase or a sequence of state changes. Every round is a fresh one-roll event. That makes the math more static: probability and payout do almost all the work.

The educational value is excellent because the game surfaces house edge, variance, and payout distortion in a very direct way.

CasinoMath framing

Sic Bo is not a skill game in the outcome sense. The useful skill is choosing bets with lower long-run cost and understanding how often rare events actually happen.

Origins

History of Sic Bo

Sic Bo is an old Chinese dice game whose modern casino form emphasizes a wide menu of fixed payout bets.

The game is associated with Chinese gambling traditions and spread into modern casino floors through Asian gaming markets, Macau, and international casino adoption. Today the game is often used as a compact lesson in how a visually dense table can hide very different house edges behind neighboring bets.

Round structure

How Sic Bo Works

Each round follows the same simple loop: choose a bet, reveal three dice, resolve the layout.

1

Bet

Choose one or more wagers from the table layout before the dice are shaken.

2

Reveal

Three six-sided dice are rolled, producing one of 216 equally likely ordered outcomes.

3

Resolve

Winning bets are paid according to the printed paytable and losing bets are collected.

216 outcomes

Three Dice Basics

Three six-sided dice create 6 ร— 6 ร— 6 = 216 equally likely ordered outcomes.

This ordered-outcome model matters. A roll of 1-2-3 is distinct from 2-1-3 when we count equally likely outcomes, even though both have the same unordered appearance at the table.

Totals in the middle of the range occur more often because there are more ways to make them. Extremes like 3 and 18 are very rare because only one ordered outcome produces each extreme.

Extreme example
Total 3

Only one way to make total 3

Triple
Visual map

Sic Bo Table Layout

The felt groups bets by family: range bets, totals, singles, doubles, triples, and combinations.

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SMALLBIGTOTALSCOMBODOUBLESTRIPLESSINGLE NUMBERS
SMALLBIGTOTALSCOMBODOUBLESTRIPLESSINGLE NUMBERS
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Lowest common edge

Small and Big Bets

These are the broad range bets and usually the most defensible standard options on the layout.

Small

Low
Payout
1:1
House Edge
2.78%
Probability
48.61%

Without the triple exception this would be a fair even-money range bet. The three losing triples create the 2.78% house edge.

Big

Low
Payout
1:1
House Edge
2.78%
Probability
48.61%

Mathematically identical to Small. The bet feels broad, but the triple exception quietly keeps the edge intact.

Frequency trap

Single Number Bets

These bets feel active because they win whenever the chosen face appears, but the blended payout still leaves a meaningful house edge.

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Single Number

Medium
Payout
1:1 / 2:1 / 3:1
House Edge
7.87%
Probability
42.13% at least one match

Under the common paytable, one match pays 1:1, two matches pay 2:1, and three matches pay 3:1. The blended result yields a 7.87% house edge.

At least two matches

Double Bets

Specific doubles pay only when at least two of the selected face appear. Triples count, but the payout is still poor under common rules.

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Specific Double

High
Payout
10:1
House Edge
18.52%
Probability
7.41%

This is often mistaken for a decent medium-range bet because triples count as wins, but at 10:1 it is still very expensive under Atlantic City-style rules.

Long shots

Triple Bets

Triples are the high-drama side of Sic Bo: rare events with large displayed payouts and very high volatility.

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Specific Triple

Very High
Payout
180:1
House Edge
16.20%
Probability
0.46%

A bet on 666 wins only on 6-6-6. The payout is dramatic, but the event is just 1 in 216.

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Any Triple

Very High
Payout
30:1
House Edge
13.89%
Probability
2.78%

The hit rate is better than a specific triple, but 30:1 still pays far below true odds.

Exact event

Specific Triple Bets

A bet on a specific triple wins only on one exact outcome such as 2-2-2 or 6-6-6.

One exact triple out of 216 outcomes means a hit rate of 0.46%. The payout looks huge, but the true odds against the event are still larger, so the bet remains expensive in long-run terms.

Triple family

Any Triple Bets

Any triple aggregates all six triples, improving hit rate but still paying below true odds.

Any Triple wins on 111 through 666, so the probability is 6 out of 216, or 2.78%. That is far more common than a specific triple, but still uncommon enough that the bet behaves as a very high-volatility wager.

Two faces anywhere

Combination Bets

Combination bets win if both selected faces appear somewhere among the three dice.

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Two-number Combination

High
Payout
5:1
House Edge
16.67%
Probability
13.89%

A 2-5 combination wins on any roll containing both 2 and 5, but the standard 5:1 payoff leaves a large mathematical gap.

Specific sums

Total Bets

Specific total wagers ride the bell-curve shape of three dice, but the payout schedule is uneven and often costly.

4 or 17
60:1
Edge 15.28%Very High

Only 3 combinations win, so the hit rate is tiny.

5 or 16
30:1
Edge 13.89%Very High

6 winning outcomes out of 216 under Atlantic City-style rules.

6 or 15
17:1
Edge 16.67%High

Frequently quoted as attractive, but mathematically expensive.

7 or 14
12:1
Edge 9.72%High

One of the better total bets, but still much costlier than Small or Big.

8 or 13
8:1
Edge 12.50%High

21 winning outcomes create a better hit rate, but the payout is also lower.

9 or 12
6:1
Edge 18.98%Medium

A relatively common total with a poor payout multiple.

10 or 11
6:1
Edge 12.50%Medium

Most common totals, but still expensive because the payout lags the probability.

Subset logic

Two Dice Combination Bets

These bets are often described informally as choosing two numbers and hoping both appear.

A 2-5 combination wins on any roll that contains at least one 2 and at least one 5. There are 30 ordered outcomes out of 216 that satisfy that condition. Under a 5:1 payout, the resulting house edge is still large despite the bet sounding more precise than a total wager.

Payoff structure

Sic Bo Payouts

Payouts advertise excitement, but they do not tell you whether a bet is mathematically efficient.

Small
1:1
Edge 2.78%Low

Wins on totals 4 through 10, except any triple loses.

Big
1:1
Edge 2.78%Low

Wins on totals 11 through 17, except any triple loses.

Single Number
1:1 / 2:1 / 3:1
Edge 7.87%Medium

Bet on one face. The payout depends on whether that face appears one, two, or three times.

Specific Double
10:1
Edge 18.52%High

Wins if at least two of the selected face appear.

Specific Triple
180:1
Edge 16.20%Very High

A pure long shot: only one exact triple wins.

Any Triple
30:1
Edge 13.89%Very High

Wins on any triple from 111 to 666.

Two-number Combination
5:1
Edge 16.67%High

Wins if both selected faces appear somewhere among the three dice.

Total 7 or 14
12:1
Edge 9.72%High

One of the better specific total wagers under common rules.

Probability map

Sic Bo Probabilities

The broadest bets are close to even-money range bets; narrow bets collapse to tiny hit rates very quickly.

Small (4-10, no triple)

48.61%

105 winning combinations out of 216.

The triple exception is what creates the house edge on an otherwise even-looking bet.

Big (11-17, no triple)

48.61%

105 winning combinations out of 216.

Same math as Small on the opposite side of the total range.

Any Triple

2.78%

6 winning combinations out of 216.

All three dice must match: 111 through 666.

Specific Triple

0.46%

1 winning combinations out of 216.

Only one exact outcome wins, such as 444.

Specific Double

7.41%

16 winning combinations out of 216.

At least two of the selected number appear; triples count as wins.

Two-number Combination

13.89%

30 winning combinations out of 216.

Both chosen faces appear somewhere among the three dice.

Total distribution

3
1/216
0.46%
4
3/216
1.39%
5
6/216
2.78%
6
10/216
4.63%
7
15/216
6.94%
8
21/216
9.72%
9
25/216
11.57%
10
27/216
12.50%
11
27/216
12.50%
12
25/216
11.57%
13
21/216
9.72%
14
15/216
6.94%
15
10/216
4.63%
16
6/216
2.78%
17
3/216
1.39%
18
1/216
0.46%
Why payouts matter

House Edge Explained

House edge appears when a bet pays less than the true mathematical odds of the event.

Core idea

Small wins about 48.61% of the time, but it pays only 1:1 and loses on all triples in its range. That small payout mismatch is enough to create a 2.78% house edge.

Practical reading

In Sic Bo, visually neighboring bets can have radically different house edges. You cannot infer value from layout position, only from probability versus payout.

Best common choices

Low House Edge Bets

Under standard rules, Small and Big are the main lower-edge options.

Low-edge read

Small and Big sit at 2.78% house edge under standard rules.

Low-edge read

A few regional layouts improve other bets, but the common Atlantic City-style felt is much harsher on doubles, combos, and totals.

Low-edge read

Frequent hits do not automatically mean a good bet if the payout is too small.

Costly side of the felt

High House Edge Bets

Many Sic Bo bets trade visual excitement for heavy mathematical cost.

High-edge read

Specific doubles, combination bets, and many total bets live in the 9% to 19% edge range.

High-edge read

Triples look exciting because the payouts are large, but they are rare enough that the long-run cost stays steep.

High-edge read

Sic Bo systems usually fail because they increase exposure on already expensive wagers.

Swings

Variance Explained

Sic Bo variance increases as the bet becomes narrower and more payout-heavy.

Small / Big

Low variance because they win almost half the time.

Single Number

Medium variance because hits are fairly common, but payout size still fluctuates.

Totals and Doubles

High variance because many wagers depend on narrower event sets.

Triples

Very high variance because wins are rare and clustered around long droughts.

EV math

Expected Value Explained

Expected value converts house edge into a long-run average cost for each dollar wagered.

Formula

Expected loss = amount wagered ร— house edge

A $100 total of Small-bet action has expected loss of $2.78.

A $100 total of Any Triple action has expected loss of $13.89.

What EV does not do

EV does not predict the next round. It describes the average cost of repeating the same bet structure many times under the same rules.

Session planning

Bankroll Considerations

Three dice create a lot of tempting side action, so bankroll stress often comes from bet selection rather than table minimum alone.

$100

At $5 units, a low-edge Small/Big approach gives 20 flat bets, but a triple-heavy style can evaporate the bankroll quickly.

$500

Enough room for longer low-edge sessions, but variance still matters because three dice create many sharp side-bet swings.

$1,000

Lets you absorb normal range-bet variance better, though long-shot totals and triples can still create deep drawdowns.

Pattern myths

Common Sic Bo Myths

Sic Bo regularly invites streak stories and pattern narratives that the math does not support.

Recent totals do not make the opposite side due. Each shake is independent.
Three dice do not become more predictable after a streak of triples or non-triples.
Progression systems change bet size, not the expected value of the underlying wager.
Sic Bo is not a pattern-recognition game in the mathematical sense; it is a fixed-probability game.
No hidden shortcut

Why Systems Do Not Beat Sic Bo

Betting systems alter exposure and variance, not the expected value of the underlying wager.

Conservative approach

Stay on Small and Big, size bets modestly, and treat Sic Bo as a higher-edge cousin of range betting rather than a precision game.

Educational approach

Use total bets and triples as examples of volatility and house-edge tradeoffs, not as core bankroll tools.

What to avoid

Avoid believing that frequent hits, dealer rhythm, or betting systems can turn negative-EV side bets into value bets.

Boundaries

Responsible Play

CasinoMath treats Sic Bo as a probability lesson, not as a prompt to gamble.

Responsible Gaming

This content is for educational purposes only. Gambling involves real financial risk and can be addictive. The house always has a mathematical advantageโ€”there is no guaranteed winning strategy.

Responsible Gaming Resources โ†’If you need help: ncpgambling.org (US) or GamCare (UK)

Use the Sic Bo Calculator

Turn the guide into numbers: compare payout, probability, house edge, volatility, and expected loss per $100 or $1,000 of action across the main Sic Bo bet families.

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Internal map

Related CasinoMath Resources

Use these pages to connect Sic Bo with wider bankroll, house-edge, and dice-game concepts.

Quick answers

Sic Bo FAQ

The short version of Sic Bo skill, dice count, house edge, and betting-system myths.

What is Sic Bo?

Sic Bo is a three-dice casino game in which players bet on totals, ranges, doubles, triples, and number combinations before the dice are revealed.

Is Sic Bo based on skill?

No. Sic Bo outcomes are determined by random dice results. Skill helps only in choosing lower-edge bets and managing bankroll risk.

What is the best Sic Bo bet?

Under standard rules, Small and Big are usually the best common bets, each with a 2.78% house edge.

What is the worst Sic Bo bet?

It depends on the layout, but many specific doubles, triples, and total bets carry double-digit house edges and are far worse than Small or Big.

How many dice are used?

Sic Bo uses three six-sided dice, which creates 216 equally likely ordered outcomes.

Can betting systems beat Sic Bo?

No. Progression systems change the path of wins and losses, but they do not change the probability or payout of the bet itself.

What is the house edge in Sic Bo?

The house edge depends on the bet. Small and Big are about 2.78%, while many totals, doubles, and triple bets are much higher.

Is Sic Bo similar to Craps?

Both use dice, but Sic Bo is a fixed-layout three-dice betting game. Craps is a sequence-based table game with point mechanics and odds bets.