Casino War Expected Loss, Tie Impact & House Edge Calculator
Compute expected loss for surrender vs go-to-war strategies, model tie impact over multiple hands, and compare house edge. For education, not as gambling advice.
Casino War — Go to War
$10.00 per hand × 100 hands = $1,000.00 total action
Expected loss is a long-run average. Actual session results vary due to randomness.
Tie Strategy Comparison
How your chosen tie strategy compares to the alternative over 100 hands.
Go to War
Expected loss: $28.80 over $1,000.00 action.
Surrender
Expected loss: $35.80 over $1,000.00 action.
Choosing “Go to War” saves approximately $7.00 compared to the alternative over this session. Going to war is always the lower-cost choice.
Tie Decision
When player and dealer cards match, the player chooses:
Surrender
- Lose half the ante
- No additional risk
- House edge: ~3.58%
Go to War
- Match ante with raise bet
- 3 cards burned, 1 dealt each
- Win: 1:1 on raise, ante pushes
- Lose: lose ante + raise
- House edge: ~2.88%
Going to war is always the lower-cost option mathematically, but both choices produce negative expected value.
Expected Loss Benchmarks
At 2.88% house edge (go to war).
At $5/hand over 100 hands ($500 action), expected loss ≈ $14.40 (go to war) or $17.90 (surrender).
At $10/hand over 200 hands ($2,000 action), expected loss ≈ $57.60 (go to war) or $71.60 (surrender).
At $25/hand over 200 hands ($5,000 action), expected loss ≈ $144.00 (go to war) or $179.00 (surrender).
How tie rules create the casino advantage.
The formula behind every expected loss result.
Strategy-driven card game with lower house edge.
Responsible Gaming
This content is for educational purposes only. Gambling involves real financial risk and can be addictive. The house always has a mathematical advantage—there is no guaranteed winning strategy.